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Index — California government forcing PG&E to build renewable power plants Pages: [1] 2 3
jabbaciv    Topic opened August 14, 2008, 08:10:01 PM
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Two Large Solar Plants Planned in California
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Companies will build two solar power plants in California that together will put out more than 12 times as much electricity as the largest such plant today, the latest indication that solar energy is starting to achieve significant scale.

The plants will cover 12.5 square miles of central California with solar panels, and in the middle of a sunny day will generate about 800 megawatts of power, roughly equal to the size of a large coal-burning power plant or a small nuclear plant. A megawatt is enough power to run a large Wal-Mart store.

The power will be sold to Pacific Gas & Electric, which is under a state mandate to get 20 percent of its electricity from renewable sources by 2010. The utility said that it expected the new plants, which will use photovoltaic technology to turn sunlight directly into electricity, to be competitive with other renewable energy sources, including wind turbines and solar thermal plants, which use the sun’s heat to boil water.

California’s 20 percent renewable standard is one of the toughest, and companies there are afraid they will miss a deadline in 2010. Pacific Gas & Electric expects that when the new plants are completed, its total will rise to 24 percent, but not until 2013.

Now, here's my question. If California hadn't made it a law, would PG&E have been suitably motivated to get off its ass and get these plants built? If Germany's government hadn't decided to increase their renewable power consumption, would they be making the advances they have been making? On top of that, when companies are forced to meet those legal standards, they find ways to meet the requirements and do it faster and cheaper then when they aren't being held to a standard. Those faster and cheaper methods can then be exported to other locations in the US and elsewhere in the world. Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, the Middle East, and so on.

Similar to this, a recent law passed in Washington state says that cell phones can't be called by collectors and telemarketers. As a result, companies all across the US are developing ways to scrub their call lists of cell phones. Why? Because someone may have a WA number but not live in WA, and someone may live in WA but not have a WA cell phone number. So, just to be sure, everybody is scrubbing all their lists. And cell phones won't get called (which I'm pretty happy about), just because of one state passing a law.

My question is this: is increased government involvement a good thing for green power, as well as other good things? Trying to get a business to act in everybody's best interests is nearly impossible unless there is guaranteed profit, or if there is a law forcing them to act. Personally, I'm in favor of that, but my political alignment has very firmly shifted to social democrat, so I would be in favor of such things.
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Imaginary Reply #1 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 14, 2008, 08:32:50 PM
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While yes, PG&E is building those solar plants because California has passed direct regulation stating that "Thou shalt achieve 20% renewable sources", that also means that they'll never get to 30% unless California goes back in and makes yet more regulations.  Because once you've put government in the business of telling business how to act rather than simply defining "good" and "bad", then you're making government responsible for an indefinite amount of handholding, regardless of how unqualified they may be to do so.

The alternative to direct regulation is to restructure the market incentives to create the desired result.  Want to cut down on fossil fuel use?  Carbon tax.  No percentages, no no deadlines, no nothing.  But you make it more expensive to burn coal and oil, and so create a clear profit motive to not do so.  And you do it without having to put government, inherantly rife with conflicts of interest and unable to turn more quickly than the QE2, into the role of telling private industry how to best run their business.
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jabbaciv Reply #2 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 15, 2008, 03:33:15 AM
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While yes, PG&E is building those solar plants because California has passed direct regulation stating that "Thou shalt achieve 20% renewable sources", that also means that they'll never get to 30% unless California goes back in and makes yet more regulations.  Because once you've put government in the business of telling business how to act rather than simply defining "good" and "bad", then you're making government responsible for an indefinite amount of handholding, regardless of how unqualified they may be to do so.

Yeah, but once they have that 20%, they'll know how to easily get to 40% if that becomes the law. All they have to do is double what they've built. Not only that, but they will have a framework now for other regions in the US to follow.

The alternative to direct regulation is to restructure the market incentives to create the desired result.  Want to cut down on fossil fuel use?  Carbon tax.  No percentages, no no deadlines, no nothing.  But you make it more expensive to burn coal and oil, and so create a clear profit motive to not do so.  And you do it without having to put government, inherantly rife with conflicts of interest and unable to turn more quickly than the QE2, into the role of telling private industry how to best run their business.

By trying to legislate their actions with a carbon tax, aren't you doing exactly that? And what is to stop the company, in that case, from simply raising their prices to cover the carbon tax and telling the customer it's because the goverment raised taxes?

I view government, not as a separate entity, but as a political body that should, in a representative democracy, be the will of the people made manifest. The government is not separate from the people, it is composed of the people who care enough to get involved with it, and influenced by the people who care enough to vote.
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Antero Reply #3 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 15, 2008, 04:48:05 AM
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And what is to stop the company, in that case, from simply raising their prices to cover the carbon tax and telling the customer it's because the goverment raised taxes?
What, you mean to suggest they'd do the exact same thing they do every other goddamn time, and then use the "increased taxes" to help boost the candidates they back to repeal the taxes so that they can keep higher prices while lining their pockets?

For chrissakes Jabba don't be silly.

 Boring
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Symmetry Reply #4 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 15, 2008, 05:24:21 AM
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I also think the carbon tax is the way to go.  There's no way for us to know if, given that we want to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, to what extent we're better off reducing consumption or going to renewable power.  So its better to force the decision down onto the people who have a lot more information about their own situation and letting them decide individually.

Of course a large part of the carbon tax is going to be forced onto consumers, but the price of all those shiny new solar plants was going to be born by consumers in any event - either through the energy companies raising their rates to pay for them, or through government subsidies, or through reduced service in other ways.  The point is that if you make carbon emissions more expensive, people will look for ways to use less of it
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jabbaciv Reply #5 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 15, 2008, 03:52:43 PM
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Of course a large part of the carbon tax is going to be forced onto consumers, but the price of all those shiny new solar plants was going to be born by consumers in any event - either through the energy companies raising their rates to pay for them, or through government subsidies, or through reduced service in other ways.

Yeah, here's why that wouldn't work.

"Candidate X says he's for the working class. But he voted for legislation that would increase taxes and raise the cost of your electric bill. In a time when the economy is hitting you hard, Candidate X wants more and more money. But Candidate Y doesn't believe in that. He wants lower prices now, through tax cuts and rebates, even if that means it takes a little longer to adopt untested 'alternative' energy methods. Which Candidate is on your side?"

Sound like an unlikely ad? Seen Celeb yet?
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/oHXYsw_ZDXg" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/v/oHXYsw_ZDXg</a>

To quote, "With gas prices soaring, Obama says no to offshore drilling... and says he'll raise taxes on electricity? Higher taxes... more foreign oil... that's the real Obama"
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Symmetry Reply #6 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 21, 2008, 12:30:13 PM
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Yes a carbon tax would raise electric bills and such, but regulations that reduce pollution the same amount would end up costing taxpayers a bit more.  Maybe the downside is more obvious if you make it a tax, but I think that obfuscating the downsides of a policy so that voters will vote for it when they wouldn't otherwise is not anything I'd be willing to advocate.
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TGU Reply #7 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 21, 2008, 12:45:05 PM
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However, with a carbon tax the companies aren't actually motivated to change anything, other than their rates.  Jabba pointed that out already.
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phobos Reply #8 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 21, 2008, 01:05:13 PM

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And what is to stop the company, in that case, from simply raising their prices to cover the carbon tax and telling the customer it's because the goverment raised taxes?

Competition. Company A pays the carbon tax and passes on the cost to the customer. Company B changes to a greener manufacturing process which is more expensive, but less expensive than the carbon tax. Company B undercuts Company A and succeeds in the marketplace.

What if the greener manufacturing process is more expensive than the carbon tax? Then perhaps the carbon tax has been set too low. What if there is no greener manufacturing process, or the only greener ways are unfeasibly expensive or impractical? Then the customers will either have to pay for the environmental costs of the products they buy, or learn to do without.
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Bunner Reply #9 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 21, 2008, 01:06:42 PM
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.....Or they pump more R&D into improving the efficiency and cost of the greener process, in the hopes that it'll pay off in the long run.
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Antero Reply #10 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 22, 2008, 04:14:30 AM
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Competition. Company A pays the carbon tax and passes on the cost to the customer. Company B changes to a greener manufacturing process which is more expensive, but less expensive than the carbon tax. Company B undercuts Company A and succeeds in the marketplace.
This is a typical free-market model which, as is so often the case, uses the oversimplified trope of "the marketplace" to explain away impossible results, to the detriment of all. 

In the scenario described above, Company B is still paying the carbon tax in the meantime while losing profits (and angering shareholders) as they put money towards greening in hopes of becoming more competitive several years down the line, not by virtue of their better product or their lower overhead but through a price advantage created only by a tax that, for all they know, may well fall to lobbying and no-new-taxes campaigning before they even manage to get green enough to take advantage of it.

That's leaving out the fact that economies, and human behavior, are far more complex than classical market economics would ever allow, and even given the potential advantage of Company B in the above scenario it is extremely, nigh-miraculously, unlikely that their upper hand would be sufficient to force Company A to take the same risks for a diminishing gain.  For such a challenge to be effective from an environmental perspective, Company B would have to overtake, marginalize, and destroy Company A, which simply isn't a realistic expectation: "outcompete" simply means "pull a bigger market share" or "slightly higher profits" or, hell, even "better percent return" for that matter.

You could see results if you raised the carbon tax high enough, of course, but there's a fundamental problem with what amounts to regulation via larceny.  You'll most likely just ream the small companies, and the consumers when they catch the backblast... and commit political suicide at the same time, and have it reversed the next time there's an election. 

What we have here is a situation where taxes would only be effective if so onerous as to be tantamount to regulation, but with less oversight and less responsibility on the part of the government.  That's not good practice at all.
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Symmetry Reply #11 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 22, 2008, 06:49:21 AM
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What we have here is a situation where taxes would only be effective if so onerous as to be tantamount to regulation, but with less oversight and less responsibility on the part of the government.  That's not good practice at all.

I actually think that less oversight and less responsibility on the part of the government is the real selling point on the carbon tax.  The more detailed and complex the decisions that have to be made by government are the harder they are for citizens to understand.  The harder the decisions made by government are for citizens to understand the greater the danger of regulatory capture. 

Thats why I actually think a carbon tax would be far better for small companies than more regulation.  The big corporations that have close working relationships with their regulators will probably be able to influence the exact rate of taxation in a way that benefits themselves, but there's a lot less advantage to be seized that way.  On the other hand, there are lots and lots of ways that messing with the exact definition of "renewable," or the legal process by which it is decided whether a given plant is renewable, or other such measures that large companies can use to seize advantages for themselves.
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Badger Reply #12 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 22, 2008, 07:12:17 AM
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This is a typical free-market model which, as is so often the case, uses the oversimplified trope of "the marketplace" to explain away impossible results, to the detriment of all. 

In the scenario described above, Company B is still paying the carbon tax in the meantime while losing profits (and angering shareholders) as they put money towards greening in hopes of becoming more competitive several years down the line, not by virtue of their better product or their lower overhead but through a price advantage created only by a tax that, for all they know, may well fall to lobbying and no-new-taxes campaigning before they even manage to get green enough to take advantage of it.

That's leaving out the fact that economies, and human behavior, are far more complex than classical market economics would ever allow, and even given the potential advantage of Company B in the above scenario it is extremely, nigh-miraculously, unlikely that their upper hand would be sufficient to force Company A to take the same risks for a diminishing gain.  For such a challenge to be effective from an environmental perspective, Company B would have to overtake, marginalize, and destroy Company A, which simply isn't a realistic expectation: "outcompete" simply means "pull a bigger market share" or "slightly higher profits" or, hell, even "better percent return" for that matter.

You could see results if you raised the carbon tax high enough, of course, but there's a fundamental problem with what amounts to regulation via larceny.  You'll most likely just ream the small companies, and the consumers when they catch the backblast... and commit political suicide at the same time, and have it reversed the next time there's an election. 

What we have here is a situation where taxes would only be effective if so onerous as to be tantamount to regulation, but with less oversight and less responsibility on the part of the government.  That's not good practice at all.

Or, we have a situation where the carrot/stick option is the way to go.

For example, carbon tax.  Hit the people burning coal and oil hard.  Stick.

However, if you set and meet state-mandated goals for the construction of renewable energy plants, you're exempt from the carbon tax.  You want to not pay the carbon tax?  Put an equivalent amount of money into building plants that use renewable energy.  And since you keep your exemption as long as you keep increasing the percentage of your energy provided by renewable sources every year, why not take that baby all the way to 11?  Carrot.

The trick is setting those goals so that you actually get the transition to renewable.

I will say that those market forces work pretty well when combined with social pressure.  I just signed up for electricity here.  I can't get Green Energy until January because it's fully subscribed with a waiting list.  They're building green plants as fast as they can because market demand is so high.  No state mandating, no regulations.  People just want it that much.  The rate is steadier and the ethics are better and people are clamoring for it, and *that* is, in fact, the free market at work.
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Bunner Reply #13 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 22, 2008, 08:41:52 AM
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I'm a big believer in the power of Greyskull, myself.
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da chicken Reply #14 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 22, 2008, 09:09:41 AM

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It's a joke. Laugh.

Your avatar is Orko, isn't it?
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NoxEquites Reply #15 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 22, 2008, 11:26:44 AM

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I make shiny things, you need them.

Remember children that unless you are close to the green energy sources paying extra for green energy is a farce.
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Bunner Reply #16 in The power of regulation? — Posted August 22, 2008, 11:41:47 AM
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Saving the planet is a farce. I'm all for strip-mining, drilling and harvesting every last drop of resources I can get my grubby little hands on to make my life better right here and now. Why? Because in fifty years or so, I'll be dead and I won't care anymore what happens after that. But so help me god, if you vandalize the giant bust of my head that will be carved out of Mount Everest, I will come back and haunt your ass.

"Resources exist to be consumed. If not by this generation, than by the next."
I will have my lawn and eat it too!

The sad part is that I'm actually kinda torn between the idea of making things all nice and shiny, and well, just obliterating everything. My indecisiveness is the only thing keeping any of you alive. SO THERE.
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